Link.
Population figures are to be used by the State and SANDAG to determine housing needs and goals. The U.S. Census figures for Encinitas show that as of 1990 our population stood at 55,386, as of 2000 it was 58,014, and as of 2010 it was 59,518. So between 1990 and 2000, a period of heavy building and housing starts, our population increased by 2,628 people. Between 2000 and 2010, a period of boom and bust, our population increased by 1504. Current Census findings show we have more vacant housing now than in 2000 and the number people per housing unit is slightly up. We are facing a gradually improving economy with the housing sector lagging even that progress. So if you were to try and guess the increase in our population in 2020, wouldn’t you think it couldn’t be over 2,600 and could well be 1,500 or below? Not according to SANDAG projections. SANDAG’s projection for Encinitas’s population in 2020 is for a population increase of over 9,000+!
This projection is simply not accurate, but for purposes of Encinitas planning City Staff assumes the SANDAG figure is an accurate one and that the “necessary” housing figures by the State are accurate. The only problem is they clearly can not be accurate.
The Encinitas Staff assumes that we must comply with SANDAG and the State even though they warned in the General Plan Update that the figures may not be accurate. They assumed that the areas of additional density in the SANDAG maps would be where additional density would go, since SANDAG and the Encinitas City Staff have been working on additional density areas for a long period of time—way before there was any public input.
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