The city of Encinitas is asking community members to participate in one of two surveys as it works to create a draft Parks, Beaches and Trails Master Plan.If you receive the survey, please send a scan or photo to encinitasundercover at gmail.com. We'll post the questions so that everyone has a chance to respond, not just the lucky 3,500.
A 25-question survey was mailed Friday to 3,500 randomly selected residents.
Tuesday, May 3, 2016
City surveys residents
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What are the odds that none of the 3500 selected residents read or post to this blog?
ReplyDeleteI got the survey
Deletedamn. No conspiracy theory?
DeleteWell 12:56 PM, supply the survey to the blog for due consideration.
DeleteHow much did the city pay for this survey ??
ReplyDeleteThey ignore the results anyway...
Notice how they only do this BEFORE the elections...
City paid $75,000 for the survey and consultant. Doesn't include the previous payments. Parks and Rec already had a survey of what residents want.
ReplyDeleteDo we get any questions about the fucking roads??
DeleteIt's about the ef-ing parks, ef-ing beaches and ef-ing trails--not the ef-ing roads. If the survey does include questions about the ef-ing roads, then some ef-er should be ef-ing fired, because the question would be ef-ing irrelevant to the ef-ing scope of this ef-ing survey.
Delete3,500 people doesn't seem like a fair representation of residents considering the population of Encinitas is over 63,000.
ReplyDeleteActually it is in the world of statistics. If you ask 3500 people to answer a question, you can be 95% confident that if you asked all 63,000 people, you will get the same results +/- about 1.6% (called the margin of error).
DeleteSANDAG's population numbers are incorrect. The rate of population increase isn't what was forecast. We won't really know until the next Census, but the actual number, last I heard, was just under 60,000, not 63,000. That discrepancy, alone, is significant.
DeleteCensus counted 59,518 in 2010 and estimates 62,254 in 2014. That's 1% annual growth, which is within the range of plausibility.
Deletehttp://www.census.gov/quickfacts/map/INC110213/0622678
The city is getting this sample in order to have a valid survey. If they just posted it on the website or made it available to the general public they would never get 3,500 responses.....as it is, who knows how many people will actually respond!
Delete- The Sculpin
The open responses are subject to self-selection bias, and so the responses are inherently unreliable. My guess is that the city is only collecting the open responses for PR purposes to create the appearance of inclusiveness. Behind the scenes, I'm betting they have a way to separately analyze the targeted 3500. This sample will more accurately reflect public opinion, and the city will (rightly) base their decisions on this input exclusively.
Delete8:30 AM
DeleteThe 2015- 2016 growth in Encinitas is estimated at 0.7%. CA department of finance website. Approximately 61,000 population if using the DOF estimate.
9:17 AM
DeleteThe survey aspect was started under Rudloff. The consultants began under Vina. The city is still under the Vina regime with his strategic plan still in place.
What will be the results?
Soccer people want more soccer fields.
Baseball people will want more baseball fields.
The rest of Encinitas residents just want a grassy, tree planted area to relax.
And it takes taxpayer money of $75,000 for this survey and $70,000 for the consultant's previous input to learn this.
And do the residents think that 6000 square feet of buildings on the sand at tiny Moonlight Beach is an improvement? Yes? Would they think differently if they knew of the millions of dollars spend on the beach buildings?
Random surveys and mass mailings are considered to have a successful response rate of 2%. That would mean 70 respondents out of 3500 who received the survey. If lucky because the topic is for some reason of special interest to the recipients, the response rate might double, meaning about 150 respondents. These numbers are surely known by the company that sent the survey for the city.
DeleteBut the city will claim it solicited input and that it was a success, then will blame residents for complaining when the "results" match a predetermined goal.
DeleteDid you read the article? Everyone, not just the 3,500 randomly selected, will be able to respond. Says it will be the exact same survey too...
ReplyDelete"In approximately two weeks, the survey will be opened up to the broader community so that any interested residents or business owners will be able to provide their input through an identical 25-question online survey."
And these idiots couldn't survey the residents from a booth at the street fair??
ReplyDeleteSpeaking of what's in the mail, I just received my glossy full color multi page 11x17 HEU. That must have cost a pretty penny to print.
ReplyDeleteVote no.... I want the city to be taken over by the courts and the council and staff disbanded. I want total gridlock at city hall.
Delete4:15 PM
Delete".... I want the city to be taken over by the courts and the council and staff disbanded."
I see you have no idea how things work. A court is not going to take over the city. A judge will direct the city council to approve a HEU and will suspend Prop A if that's what it takes. Maybe the judge will suspend all development authority until the city gets it done but you may like that. A judge is never going to disband the council and staff over the HEU.
And a judge will NOT direct our city council to do anything. Clearly you're listening to the voices in your head instead of the HCD representative.
Delete3:13 PM
Delete"And a judge will NOT direct our city council to do anything."
I'm sorry you don't understand how the legal system works. The HCD representative didn't offer legal advice.
10:44 I'm sorry you don't think the folks who oversee the program for the State don't know how it works and what the consequences of non compliance are. Your "legal advice" comment reeks of Marco himself or Marco in the wings.
DeleteResidents are tired of building industry legal threats. Developer fearmongering won't play here anymore.
I suggest you move on to another, less informed place. Make it easy on yourself, you know?
Those pennies are far from pretty when you consider the $4 million bucks Planning has been allowed to spend so far trying to perfume this turd.
ReplyDeleteIt is all for naught, as this will be going down in flames and deservedly so, once we have the ability to vote on it.
There better be plenty of heads rolling in that sell-out dept. when we have our chance to vote this turkey down.
Our [hardly] Planning Dept. has been unrelenting in trying to sneak whatever they can past an unsuspecting public and burying some facts in a thousand page production. Gutting Prop A is only one of their aims. Who knows what else they will sneak in there before the year is out or rather before the time is up to get it on the ballot.
Dear citizens, please don't fall for any of their attempts to sell this disingenuous plan. Any future public say so will be history if this is allowed to become real. Kiss any control over developers good bye. The public will have no say if this passes. Enough is enough of their crap. Clean house now.
The projected zones considered prime for "redevelopment" in the housing plan have been released in a mailer to the public. Downtown Encinitas and the entire stretch of Leucadia on Hwy 1 is clobbered with "redevelopment potential" -it'll be Pacific Stations and the Lofts from the beginning of Leucadia to the border of Cardiff. Real estate will wildly escalate even further in value in these zones, so the Oklahoma land rush is on! Community character? It is now categorized along with other similar items, such as the passenger pigeon and the dinosaur.
ReplyDelete"Infill opportunities," the disgusting industry name for sardine-style living.
DeleteAnyone else catch Kranz's claim on Facebook that he is going to have the Prop A-killer language removed from the HEU? That he's sure the rest of the council will support him?
This from the man who famously said of Prop A "I want to kill this thing,"
Anyone foolish enough to believe him? It's an election year and the dude will say anything,