Monday, November 7, 2016

Election predictions

Time to step up and make your predictions.

1. Mayor: Blakespear or Gaspar?
2. City Council: which three of the five get seats?
3. Supervisor: Gaspar or Roberts?
4. Congressman: Issa or Applegate?
5. Measure T: Yes or No?

Tie breaker: what percent of the voters vote Yes on T?

Make your predictions in the comments.  Attach a moniker if you want everlasting glory.


59 comments:

  1. Blakespear
    Muir, Kranz, Horvath
    Gaspar
    Issa
    No

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nailed it! First pick, best pick.
      -Nostradamus

      Delete
  2. Blakespear
    Muir, Horvath, Brandenburg
    Roberts
    Applegate
    No (but it will be close).

    - The Sculpin

    ReplyDelete
  3. Gaspar
    Muir, Brandenburg, Graham
    Gaspar
    Issa
    Trump/Pence
    An official member of the deplorable silent majority.
    Good luck!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I'm sorry, did you actually use the word "silent" in that context?

      (spit take)

      Delete
  4. Blakespear
    Muir, Horvath, Kranz
    Roberts
    Applegate
    NO

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. So far, this guess is correct, with ABSENTEE RESULTS ONLY being counted as of 8:13 p.m.

      Delete
  5. Gaspar
    Bradenburg,Muir,Graham
    Gaspar
    Issa
    No on T (70% 'no)
    Cardiffian native.

    ReplyDelete
  6. 1. Mayor: Gaspar
    2. City Council: Muir, Graham, Bradenberg
    3. Supervisor: Gaspar
    4. Congressman: Issa
    5. Measure T: No
    80% say no on T

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I JUST received a 'robo call' from Phil Graham. What impressed me the most was that he actually left his cell phone number at the end of the message if anyone wanted to speak to him directly...love the accessibility.

      Delete
  7. Blakespear
    Brandenburg, Horvath, Muir
    Roberts
    Applegate
    67% will say NO on T

    ReplyDelete
  8. 1. Mayor: Blakespear
    2. City Council: Muir, Horvath, Kranz
    3. Supervisor: Gaspar
    4. Congressman: Issa
    5. Measure T: Yes, 52%

    Mrs. Flippenz

    ReplyDelete
  9. Blakespear
    Kranz, Horvath, Muir
    Roberts
    Applegate
    NO by 54%

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Close, but No on T by only 52%, so far; it's early.

      Delete
  10. Blakespear, by a large margin
    Muir, Kranz, Brandenburg
    Roberts
    Issa
    No by 51%

    ReplyDelete
  11. Blakespear, landslide victory
    Horvath, Kranz, Muir
    Roberts
    Applegate
    Yes by 51%

    Mamma Mia

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I agree with Mamma Mia, but think No on T will be 65%.

      Buddee Boop

      Delete
  12. Gaspar
    Horvath, Kranz, Muir
    Gaspar
    Applegate
    Yes - 57

    Encinitas Fire Flare

    ReplyDelete
  13. Blakespear
    Muir, Kranz, Horvath
    Gaspar
    Issa
    No on T 63%

    Fictitious Persona

    ReplyDelete
  14. WCV,

    If you have Gaspar as your mayor choice, then you should only pick two for council, correct? (Catherine keeps her seat for the remainder of her term).

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 11:40 below is correct. There are three open seats PLUS Blakespear's.

      If Blakespear wins, the council majority appoints whomever they want to fill her seat.

      Delete
    2. Doesn't the third place finisher in the council election serve only two years?

      And would the replacement for Blakespear's seat, assuming she wins, serve the remaining two years in her original four year council term?

      Delete
    3. 12:40,

      Yes and yes, as I understand it.

      Delete
  15. what happens to Blakespear's council seat if she wins the mayor election?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Council votes to fill the vacancy. That's how Muir got his seat.

      Delete
    2. 11:40 Or they can call for another election.

      Delete
  16. Blakespear/Horbarf/Kranz are all socialists that want to grow government control over our live in Encinitas. They want to over-regulate the roads we drive on instead of talking to business owners and residents that work for a living BUT not Coastal elites who don't have to work for a living...like Blakespear (lives in beach house given to her by her feminist mom), Kranz (lives in his wife's parents home in Leucadia where his father-in-law runs an illegal retail glass business), Horbarf (by the looks of her, her dad and her 'starving artist' sisters...she ain't living anywhere without someone else paying the bill. NONE of these candidates have a real job or ever had one but these are the people that want to 'rule over us?' These socialist and Cultural Marxist 'busy bodies' and 'bureaucrats' want totalitarianism....they want to be in charge of you and turn Encinitas into a nanny City. They want to tell us what kind of disposable take out food containers we MUST eat from , they want to tell us that we MUST have more tax-payer subsidized public art, they want to tell us we MUST allow bicyclists to have their own lane. ALL of these sychophants Kranz (Leichtag), Blakespear (angry feminists and environmental fascists) and Horbarf (anything that has to do with Cultural Marxism) want power to inflict forced CHANGE on traditional American values and virtues. Angry feminist women, especially those without kids, PLEASE do not vote and take your anger and bitterness out on the next generation.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 12:26,

      I feel like you might be happier in a fly-over state.

      Or 1955.

      Delete
    2. Umm.... 12:26 I don't think you actually know anything about these candidates. And agree with 1:34 that you'd be happier in a fly-over state or in 1955. Or in a fly-over state IN 1955.

      Delete
    3. 12:26- I agree whole heartedly with your comments. Keep telling the truth. (Notice the most liberal commentators are the least tolerant of opposing ideas.)

      Delete
    4. Not intolerant at all.

      Looking out for the mental well being of a neighbor who is obviously angry, impotent, paranoid and unhappy where he is.

      Delete
  17. Blakespear
    Kranz, Horvath, Muir
    Roberts
    Issa
    No on T, 60%

    -Cardiff Kook

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Cardiff Kook is the only one to get all picks correct! Well done Kook!

      Delete
  18. Blakespeare
    Kranz, Horvath, Muir
    Roberts
    Applegate
    No on T, 55%

    -MGJ

    No on T, 55%

    ReplyDelete
  19. We love in the arts in Encinitas

    -Salvador Karl Marx, esq..

    Speaking of bitterness, try and get out and get some sun 12:26, it's not a crime to live at a house that was the ancestral home of someone in your or your wife's family.

    And you're dead wrong, I Kranz, Horvath and Blakespeare have all had real jobs. Muir was a fireman, Brandenburg was an administrative law judge. Graham I'm not familiar with. So get your facts right before you smear these folks characters....

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It isn't a crime cracker but it sure shows a lack of competence. NONE of them have had real jobs and had to toil to save for a downpayment on a mortgage ass hat. Stop defending these overgrown elitist kids, I could only imagine whwre you live and how little you toiled to be there.

      Delete
    2. 7:41. If you think one must "toil" to be competent then you need to get over yourself. Toiling is for chumps who are not smart enough to get paid doing what they enjoy.

      I can only imagine you are a slave to your mortage and work Fridays, like a chump. Probably too busy to run for an office too. Maybe if your parents were not just toiling they could have left you a paid off house near the beach. I can assume you will have nothing to leave to your children as well. Well, maybe you can leave them your second mortgage.

      What is your PHD in BTW? Do you have a law degree or even an ice and elevation degree?

      I am no fan of any of them either but having successful parents does not equate to a lack of competence. Not liking someone because they have rich parents is a symptom of incompetence.

      I am not 1:29 btw

      Delete
  20. Dirk Weatherly says:

    Gaspar
    Brandenburg, Horvath and Muir
    Gaspar
    Applegate
    No on T 66%

    ReplyDelete
  21. Blakespear
    Brandenburg, Muir, Horvath
    Roberts
    Applegate
    NO on T by 55%
    Brought to by the Official Party of the Republic of Encinitas.

    ReplyDelete
  22. I don't understand the entire "local control" point of the Yes on T folks. The people who controlled the Housing Plan were Manjeet Ranu who lives in that slum in east Del Mar, Mike Strong, who lives in Carlsbad, Jeff Murphy, who lives in San Diego, and Gus Vina, who lived only briefly in Encinitas as a renter but is now back home in Northern CA.

    To add insult to injury, many of the developers who would benefit the most also live elsewhere! There is NO local control except control for how much money they can make.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It's a poll-tested catch phrase, like Phil Graham's "protect our beaches and bays."

      Delete
  23. For housing requirements originating in Sacramento that forced this insane process on Encinitas, "keep local control" is an ironic and sad slogan.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It was staff's mismanagement and trying to over stack and pack Encinitas that killed this measure.

      They should have gone with the minimum to meet law not the maximum to fill the developers pockets with profit while converting Encinitas to Pacific Beach North.

      Fools and I'm glad the Directors of Planning and Public Works got the boot!

      Delete
    2. The Council and departments/commissions are packed with shills for the developers. Of course they're going for the max - they've put big bucks into this race. Greed rears its ugly head in this fiasco called democracy.

      Delete
  24. Mayor: Blakespear
    Council: Brandenburg, Muir, Graham
    Supervisor: Roberts by a razor thin margin
    Congressman: Appelgate
    T: No 52%
    Chance of lawsuits in Encinitas: Severe and hazardous
    We love Encinitas: 98% according to Gaspar & Co.

    ReplyDelete
  25. Resist the lawsuits and counter sue for frivolous litigation.

    ReplyDelete
  26. Mayor: Blakespear
    Council: Muir, Kranz and Brandenburg
    Supervisor: Roberts
    Congress: Applegate
    T: No by 60%

    ReplyDelete
  27. Hopefully both the Gaspars are politically vanquished today, never to be heard from again!

    ReplyDelete
  28. Thank you brother. We know their job is to call ANYONE that criticizes their subversion as an anti-semite (the word they created for those they hate) problem is that American's have heard them cry victim over and over and over again and now see how they manipulate and attempt to socially deiscredit and destroy ANYONE they choose. Their job is to 'gaslight' which is to manipulate (someone) by psychological means into questioning their own sanity. Stay strong and tap back into America First and research what they did to Charles Lindbergh and research who and why Charles Lindbeegh's mural was taken down at San Diego International Airport...they will not stop until Christians and Muslims are killing each other in large numbers and they 'rule' over all.

    ReplyDelete
  29. Had to look up the word "gaslighting" as this word is before or after my time.

    Gaslighting only requires a belief that it is acceptable to overwrite another person’s reality.

    The rest just happens organically when a person who holds that belief feels threatened. We learn how to control and manipulate each other very naturally.

    The distinguishing feature between someone who gaslights and someone who doesn’t is an internalized paradigm of ownership. And in my experience, identifying that paradigm is a lot easier than spotting the gaslighting.

    Gaslighting tends to follow when intimidation is no longer working (calling someone an antisemite is pure intimidation).

    I believe that gaslighting is happening culturally and interpersonally on an unprecedented scale, and that this is the result of a societal framework where we pretend everyone is equal while trying simultaneously to preserve inequality.
    Here's a good article:
    https://everydayfeminism.com/2015/08/things-wish-known-gaslighting/

    ReplyDelete
  30. The racist seems to live in Hillcrest in a shitty little apartment on Fourth Avenue. I'm sure that's the fault of--well, we know who he blames.

    Here's more:

    He hides his racist hobby from his employer. Roger is his middle name. During the day, he's "Tom" Ogden. Every time he pollutes this blog with his antisemetic slime, I'll reveal more about him. And if he really pisses me off, I'll make sure his employer finds out about his hobby, how I tied his activity to their company brand, and how one might elevate the public relations profile of his connection to their brand.

    https://www.linkedin.com/in/tom-ogden-8071ba9

    Tom, you have your First Amendment rights, and we have ours.

    ReplyDelete
  31. Solid work there 1:13.

    ReplyDelete
  32. Nope. Sorry. 1:13 here. The linkedin above is wrong. More to follow. Still working.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Update, Thomas "Roger" Ogden moved in '06 or '07 to a crappy apartment on 1st Ave in Hillcrest.

      Delete
  33. In the article on Tony's run in, it says:

    "Roger Ogden, a Hillcrest resident who claims to have worked for 30 years at a local research-and-development center as a physicist and project manager,"

    http://www.sandiegoreader.com/news/2010/oct/23/encinitas-city-council-candidate-tony-kranz-accuse/#

    The online background check shows alias of Thomas R Ogden.

    I found some reference to a Thomas Ogden working as a Project Manager at Dynalectric. Dynalectric's "About Us" page says:

    About Us

    Design Build & Industrial Construction | Dynalectric San Diego

    Founded in 1970, Dynalectric Company has become the most technologically advanced and forward-thinking electrical contractor in San Diego.

    We have nearly 500 employees, with dozens of experts in preconstruction, project management, engineering and BIM. Their employment page shows at least one opening in El Cajon for a Project Manager (Position ID: EB-2103259133). So that employer does have PMs at the local location, but it's unclear if our Tom Roger Ogden is employed there.

    I think that's good for now. I'll keep digging. We'll all learn more each time he posts his racist garbage.

    ReplyDelete
  34. Somebody is giving this Ogden person plenty of unnecessary air time.

    ReplyDelete
  35. Blakespear by 69%

    Kranz, Horvath and Muir.

    Roberts! Gaspars are out!

    NO on Measure T- 52%. Good night for the quality of life in Encinitas! Maybe now City Council will start listening to the Citizens, and have staff listen as well.

    ReplyDelete
  36. Blakespear spent $100,000 to win a local election?
    Something is so wrong with the system. Watch for Blakespear to get her money's worth.

    ReplyDelete