98% percent of the fatalities are those with weakened immune systems or really old people. Its a part of the evolution process. Thin out the herd. Lord knows there are enough humans on earth and I thought we were looking for a more sustainable existence moving forward. Many people who are susceptible are obese and have type 2 diabetes. Did you ever think many people should address their overall health and get out in the sunshine and walk or some kind of exercise. Many look like they are already killing themselves daily by not exercising.
Trying to close down the world every time there is a new virus is not good for public health. The overall effect due to the tanked economy - suicide, stress, drinking, non exercise, lack of sleep, will surely have a much bigger negative impact on public health than this virus.
The so called world leaders blew it with this one and did not look at the big picture common sense alternatives. This is a sad lesson to learn the hard way. I give them an F for creating this self imposed depression and all the negativity associated with this depression.
Open all the parks and the coast. People need to exercise and the ocean heals.
Remember all the "over population" dingbats? The deaths should be music to their ears. Instead, it's probably the same ones screaming about people dying from the virus. In the world of the dingbat, "if everything isn't wrong then it isn't right" What happened to fools and their man made global warming? Where are they? "People, they won't let you like em' and it's against the law to kill em'" There's no winning.
Notice you don't hear anything from the whackos complaining about drug companies. Why?, the drug companies are trying to come up with a cure for a virus. The whackos are beside themselves. Fear not, they will go back to their nuttiness soon enough.
The COE failures during this current crop of rain storms is epic. Off the scales of failures. Which council people will be held accountable?? NONE, they all feel they've done a tremendous job and pay raises for all, especially staff that has given up so much during this crisis.
Everyone needs to check out the latest Encinitas Guerrilla - outstanding job and perfect capture of our fearless "leader." https://yourencinitasguerrilla.blogspot.com/
Only thing the writer left out is the mayor calling residents "naive and ignorant" during her Facebook fiasco.
Yes, that would explain suing the citizens of this city for the legal passage of Prop A. To paraphrase what Blakespear is communicating is for ignorant and naive Encinitas voters to give her our vote and for us to open our wallets to fund her election. What a genius platform.
Paul Manafort, Michael Flynn, George Papadapoulous, Micheal Cohen, Roger Stone, Chris Collins, Duncan Hunter, Rick Gates, Alex van der Zwaan, Maria Butina, Rudy Guiliani (pending).
Maybe even someday the fat orange turd himself, probably for tax evasion; maybe fraud.
This lockdown has everyone stressed to the max and its totally unnecessary. The COVID numbers for San Diego have been consistently low, pre lock down and since.
Sweden has it right and did not harm their citizens by a self made Depression. Now we get to experience all the death and negative impacts to public health from the bad call and City of Encinintas City Council making the wrong call and closing everything including the coast. The State didn't even want to close the coast, until the City of Encinitas was pushing for it.
Now, COE gets to live with all the blood on their hands for this self imposed lock down and closing the coasts. I heard job loss is huge like over 40% of people lost their job or had an associated reduction in income. I heard alcohol sales were up 250% and other stress related stories. I sure hope we do not see a spike in suicides and felonies. All the deaths and hard time above the previous projections are all blood on the CEO for their poor leadership.
Be more like Sweden, keep the parking closed and open the beaches for starters.
The longer you wait, the more unnecessary blood on your hands.
The early models with larger numbers used the distancing measures in effect at the time. As more states and cities enacted measures, and tightened them, the inputs to the model changed and brought down the projection.
Unfortunately, any forecast is only as good as the measurements of the starting point. Because Trump sat on his ass and did nothing about improving testing for two whole months, the data about current state for each model run had to be estimated with a significant error.
Do you know what happens to tiny errors in an exponential growth projection. It’s called the butterfly effect. Look it up.
To the extent that the models overshoot, it’s down to the incompetent dipshit who ignored scientists for two months and gave himself a 10.
You can read the email chain of scientists making the right calls and being ignored by the White House. Just Google the Red Dawn Emails. It’s the damning information in those emails that caused the fat orange turd to throw a tantrum and create distraction by blaming the WHO.
Nobody’s fooled. He’s in way over his head. November can’t come soon enough.
This will be a gorgeous resort and I will enjoy having cocktails at sunset while picking up on your daughters, at least the ones with larger breasts and tight rear ends.
There are ~60,000 people in Encinitas. For a highly infectious disease like the current Coronavirus, 70-80% of the population have to be infected, vaccinated, or killed to stop the spread via herd immunity.
Let’s be conservative and take the low number: 70%. If we stop distancing and let this thing run wild, 42,000 Encinitas residents will be infected (60,000 x 0.7).
The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) tells us how many of those people will die. It varies based on the age distribution, prevalence of risk conditions in the population, and critically, the quality of healthcare received. When the healthcare system becomes overwhelmed, the quality of care drops, as there aren’t enough drugs, diagnostics, beds, doctors, oxygen bottles, or respirators available for everyone. The CFR for this virus varies from a low of 0.7% in places like South Korea, to 9.7% in Northern Italy during the period when their healthcare system got swamped.
So what happens if we let this virus run wild without any distancing measures, as Stupid wants to do? Well, we are guaranteed to swamp the healthcare system, so we’d be closer to Italy than South Korea. But let’s say we are outrageously lucky, and we are closer to South Korea, with a CFR of 3%.
That would mean 1260 Encinitas residents would be killed (42,000 x 0.03). 80% (1008) would be 65 or over; 252 would be younger than 65.
The current antibody tests are mostly garbage, and will trigger false positive for antibodies targeting the common cold.
That’s because the fat orange turd restricted the FDA from establishing standards of accuracy and regulating the tests.
In a population where 5% of the population has had the virus, and a test accuracy of 90%, the chances that your positive antibody test is wrong is 68%.
1:48 is likely from the same group of "we'll rely on science" people that were having sea level rise meetings in the fall instead of preparing for reality.
The physical distance thing is a complete joke and has not changed and will not change any outcomes +-3%.
1:48 it is obvious you are not a serious person and you're just plain docile, unhealthy and scared.
Most people angry about opening the economy have one thing in common: they get a paycheck. They are rich, or work in media, or work in academia, etc. The 20+ million workers who are struggling without paychecks know that the economy and a healthy society are the same.
Using the wrong "you're" when calling someone else an idiot.. Priceless! The person typing needs to go back to 2nd grade, but we realize we can't fix stupid..
I'm just glad our local hospitals are so overwhelmed that they are laying off many, physicians are going out of business and people that need serious medical attention and even surgeries cannot get them because the peak stupid.
Lots of open sourced info for 4:52 to parse but he is too lazy in his underground free and clear ivory basement at his moms house but he won't shut down his worthless teevee and ridiculous propaganda misinformation sources for one minute and discover the facts keep showing that 98% of the death rate is those 65 and older with comorbities and when you begin really digging into the data (4:52 is too busy digging into his porn collection) the data shows that the percentage of deaths coming from nursing homes and both a vector and death rate is enough to change the course of anyone who really wants to rely on data and citations rather than panic and hysteria.
A new tally shows 2,246 people have died in nursing homes from the coronavirus in 24 states.
The numbers were compiled by NBC News, which also reported that nearly 2,500 long-term care facilities in 36 states are battling coronavirus cases - an explosive 522 percent increase in just 10 days.
But we better shut down the beaches and lock the parking lots of churches because of well...muh...science and don't forget:
Take all of the deaths and cases out from these populations (nursing homes and long term care facilities) and suddenly coronavirus doesn't look so scary. Nor do the "R" values have that spike in them, I'm willing to wager. Why? Because these locations are contributing thousands of percent more cases than their representation in the population as a whole.
But no worries 4:42 is safe and sound watching porn in his ivory basement while accusing people of doing scary things like bringing their children to the grocery store and going surfing in the really scary virus ridden ocean.
By the way, I keep getting reports from actual nurses who are getting their asses chewed for..... washing their hands before and after each patient contact.
And the band plays on...... just like it did the last time.
Isn't that politically convenient when you want to lock down the country and destroy the economy?
But it's ok 4:42 to not wash your hands after taking a crap in a local restaurant because you'll be fine as your spread your fecal contamination to the entire pub.
But really and truly it's all due to the horrible reality that Orange man bad
2001. Terrorist attack. 3000 dead. Spend whatever it takes. Torture the brown people. Secretly collect creepy data on all Americans.
2020. Pandemic virus. 137,000 dead and counting (46 9/11s). Asking me to stay home and watch Netflix is too much. Can’t we just kill grandma and move on?
Looks like the California Coastal Commission can be bought. That's a given for this yokel City council.
ReplyDeleteBut it is just fine for a 70 foot ghetto building in Olivenhain????
ReplyDeletePut the entire council in the unemployment line next election.
This overblown COVID 19 issue will not even be a blip in the population curve. I'd hate to see what chaos would erupt in a real crisis.
ReplyDeletehttps://ourworldindata.org/world-population-growth
98% percent of the fatalities are those with weakened immune systems or really old people. Its a part of the evolution process. Thin out the herd. Lord knows there are enough humans on earth and I thought we were looking for a more sustainable existence moving forward. Many people who are susceptible are obese and have type 2 diabetes. Did you ever think many people should address their overall health and get out in the sunshine and walk or some kind of exercise. Many look like they are already killing themselves daily by not exercising.
Trying to close down the world every time there is a new virus is not good for public health. The overall effect due to the tanked economy - suicide, stress, drinking, non exercise, lack of sleep, will surely have a much bigger negative impact on public health than this virus.
The so called world leaders blew it with this one and did not look at the big picture common sense alternatives. This is a sad lesson to learn the hard way. I give them an F for creating this self imposed depression and all the negativity associated with this depression.
Open all the parks and the coast. People need to exercise and the ocean heals.
ABC
6:55 AM Brought to you by a graduate of Trump University.
Delete6:55,
DeleteNobody cares what you think, stupid.
Shhhhhhhh.
Remember all the "over population" dingbats? The deaths should be music to their ears. Instead, it's probably the same ones screaming about people dying from the virus.
DeleteIn the world of the dingbat, "if everything isn't wrong then it isn't right"
What happened to fools and their man made global warming? Where are they?
"People, they won't let you like em' and it's against the law to kill em'" There's no winning.
Keep trying, stupid.
Deletehttps://youtu.be/E5IQnQhzMSI
6:55am. I completely agree with you!
DeleteYeah, this whole things has been stupid. We need a pandemic response team to squash this shit before if spreads across the country. Oh wait.
DeleteNotice you don't hear anything from the whackos complaining about drug companies. Why?, the drug companies are trying to come up with a cure for a virus. The whackos are beside themselves. Fear not, they will go back to their nuttiness soon enough.
DeleteThere gos the Mayor again. Always trying to quiet the public comments.
ReplyDeleteHey Mayor Blakespear, quite trying to shhhhh everyone. Most people have more common sense than you. You should try listening more.
The COE failures during this current crop of rain storms is epic. Off the scales of failures. Which council people will be held accountable?? NONE, they all feel they've done a tremendous job and pay raises for all, especially staff that has given up so much during this crisis.
ReplyDeleteCity of ENCINITAS = FAILURE
Everyone needs to check out the latest Encinitas Guerrilla - outstanding job and perfect capture of our fearless "leader." https://yourencinitasguerrilla.blogspot.com/
ReplyDeleteOnly thing the writer left out is the mayor calling residents "naive and ignorant" during her Facebook fiasco.
Yes, that would explain suing the citizens of this city for the legal passage of Prop A. To paraphrase what Blakespear is communicating is for ignorant and naive Encinitas voters to give her our vote and for us to open our wallets to fund her election. What a genius platform.
Delete2020 - The Stupidest Generation
DeleteThe Mayor of Encinitas is very much like the dangerous marxist loser mayor of Los Angeles and satanic incarnate gov of Mich.
DeleteThese people need to be removed and places in prisons for the rest of their natural lives.
Like Hillary, right?
DeleteDerp derp.
Paul Manafort, Michael Flynn, George Papadapoulous, Micheal Cohen, Roger Stone, Chris Collins, Duncan Hunter, Rick Gates, Alex van der Zwaan, Maria Butina, Rudy Guiliani (pending).
Maybe even someday the fat orange turd himself, probably for tax evasion; maybe fraud.
This lockdown has everyone stressed to the max and its totally unnecessary. The COVID numbers for San Diego have been consistently low, pre lock down and since.
ReplyDeleteSweden has it right and did not harm their citizens by a self made Depression. Now we get to experience all the death and negative impacts to public health from the bad call and City of Encinintas City Council making the wrong call and closing everything including the coast. The State didn't even want to close the coast, until the City of Encinitas was pushing for it.
Now, COE gets to live with all the blood on their hands for this self imposed lock down and closing the coasts. I heard job loss is huge like over 40% of people lost their job or had an associated reduction in income. I heard alcohol sales were up 250% and other stress related stories. I sure hope we do not see a spike in suicides and felonies. All the deaths and hard time above the previous projections are all blood on the CEO for their poor leadership.
Be more like Sweden, keep the parking closed and open the beaches for starters.
The longer you wait, the more unnecessary blood on your hands.
you want hospitals to get jammed and a bunch of dead people, be like Sweden. https://covid19.healthdata.org/sweden
DeleteYou're still relying on models from these clowns?
Deletehttps://media.breitbart.com/media/2020/04/Unites-States-1024x582.png
And, no, that's not "social distancing is working!" The models assumed social distancing from the start.
Nope. That’s social distancing working.
DeleteThe early models with larger numbers used the distancing measures in effect at the time. As more states and cities enacted measures, and tightened them, the inputs to the model changed and brought down the projection.
Unfortunately, any forecast is only as good as the measurements of the starting point. Because Trump sat on his ass and did nothing about improving testing for two whole months, the data about current state for each model run had to be estimated with a significant error.
Do you know what happens to tiny errors in an exponential growth projection. It’s called the butterfly effect. Look it up.
To the extent that the models overshoot, it’s down to the incompetent dipshit who ignored scientists for two months and gave himself a 10.
You can read the email chain of scientists making the right calls and being ignored by the White House. Just Google the Red Dawn Emails. It’s the damning information in those emails that caused the fat orange turd to throw a tantrum and create distraction by blaming the WHO.
Nobody’s fooled. He’s in way over his head. November can’t come soon enough.
9:53 = part of the new 2020 Stupidest Generation.
DeleteThose will anything greater than a single digit IQ would be best served to ignore the dangerous idiotic propaganda.
9:53,
DeleteThose models are starting April 1, long after social distancing started.
It's not social distancing. The models are garbage.
This will be a gorgeous resort and I will enjoy having cocktails at sunset while picking up on your daughters, at least the ones with larger breasts and tight rear ends.
ReplyDeleteYou sure fooled me. I always thought you were into boys.
DeleteLet’s do some math, okay stupid?
ReplyDeleteDon’t worry, I’ll keep it at your level.
There are ~60,000 people in Encinitas. For a highly infectious disease like the current Coronavirus, 70-80% of the population have to be infected, vaccinated, or killed to stop the spread via herd immunity.
Let’s be conservative and take the low number: 70%. If we stop distancing and let this thing run wild, 42,000 Encinitas residents will be infected (60,000 x 0.7).
The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) tells us how many of those people will die. It varies based on the age distribution, prevalence of risk conditions in the population, and critically, the quality of healthcare received. When the healthcare system becomes overwhelmed, the quality of care drops, as there aren’t enough drugs, diagnostics, beds, doctors, oxygen bottles, or respirators available for everyone. The CFR for this virus varies from a low of 0.7% in places like South Korea, to 9.7% in Northern Italy during the period when their healthcare system got swamped.
So what happens if we let this virus run wild without any distancing measures, as Stupid wants to do? Well, we are guaranteed to swamp the healthcare system, so we’d be closer to Italy than South Korea. But let’s say we are outrageously lucky, and we are closer to South Korea, with a CFR of 3%.
That would mean 1260 Encinitas residents would be killed (42,000 x 0.03). 80% (1008) would be 65 or over; 252 would be younger than 65.
TL;DR: It’s a stupid idea.
Stop fearmongering.
DeleteThose ridiculous fatality rates you're touting are a result of NOT TESTING those with mild or no symptoms.
When you actually do widespread testing you learn that the fatality rate is way less than 1%.
https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/04/09/999015/blood-tests-show-15-of-people-are-now-immune-to-covid-19-in-one-town-in-germany/
The current antibody tests are mostly garbage, and will trigger false positive for antibodies targeting the common cold.
DeleteThat’s because the fat orange turd restricted the FDA from establishing standards of accuracy and regulating the tests.
In a population where 5% of the population has had the virus, and a test accuracy of 90%, the chances that your positive antibody test is wrong is 68%.
https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/04/15/834497497/antibody-tests-for-coronavirus-can-miss-the-mark
1:48 is likely from the same group of "we'll rely on science" people that were having sea level rise meetings in the fall instead of preparing for reality.
DeleteThe physical distance thing is a complete joke and has not changed and will not change any outcomes +-3%.
1:48 it is obvious you are not a serious person and you're just plain docile, unhealthy and scared.
Most people angry about opening the economy have one thing in common: they get a paycheck. They are rich, or work in media, or work in academia, etc. The 20+ million workers who are struggling without paychecks know that the economy and a healthy society are the same.
No data. No citations. No refutation of points.
Delete4:46, Classic Stupid.
1:48- Bad math. Your an idiot. Go back to 2nd grade and sign up for math for dummies.
DeleteUsing the wrong "you're" when calling someone else an idiot.. Priceless! The person typing needs to go back to 2nd grade, but we realize we can't fix stupid..
DeleteThere are simply too many people in powerful places entrenched with this child-like idea that we should hide in our homes until it’s safe outside.
ReplyDeleteI'm just glad our local hospitals are so overwhelmed that they are laying off many, physicians are going out of business and people that need serious medical attention and even surgeries cannot get them because the peak stupid.
ReplyDeleteBut to be sure 4:52 pm feels safe so all is well.
Notice the currently multiple boarded up commercial space in the lumberyard. Half of Encinitas will be like this by Dec.
ReplyDeleteBut to be sure 4:52pm feels safe in his moms free and clear basement so all is well.
Lots of open sourced info for 4:52 to parse but he is too lazy in his underground free and clear ivory basement at his moms house but he won't shut down his worthless teevee and ridiculous propaganda misinformation sources for one minute and discover the facts keep showing that 98% of the death rate is those 65 and older with comorbities and when you begin really digging into the data (4:52 is too busy digging into his porn collection) the data shows that the percentage of deaths coming from nursing homes and both a vector and death rate is enough to change the course of anyone who really wants to rely on data and citations rather than panic and hysteria.
ReplyDeleteA new tally shows 2,246 people have died in nursing homes from the coronavirus in 24 states.
ReplyDeleteThe numbers were compiled by NBC News, which also reported that nearly 2,500 long-term care facilities in 36 states are battling coronavirus cases - an explosive 522 percent increase in just 10 days.
But we better shut down the beaches and lock the parking lots of churches because of well...muh...science and don't forget:
Orange Man bad
Take all of the deaths and cases out from these populations (nursing homes and long term care facilities) and suddenly coronavirus doesn't look so scary. Nor do the "R" values have that spike in them, I'm willing to wager. Why? Because these locations are contributing thousands of percent more cases than their representation in the population as a whole.
ReplyDeleteBut no worries 4:42 is safe and sound watching porn in his ivory basement while accusing people of doing scary things like bringing their children to the grocery store and going surfing in the really scary virus ridden ocean.
By the way, I keep getting reports from actual nurses who are getting their asses chewed for..... washing their hands before and after each patient contact.
ReplyDeleteAnd the band plays on...... just like it did the last time.
Isn't that politically convenient when you want to lock down the country and destroy the economy?
But it's ok 4:42 to not wash your hands after taking a crap in a local restaurant because you'll be fine as your spread your fecal contamination to the entire pub.
But really and truly it's all due to the horrible reality that Orange man bad
2001. Terrorist attack. 3000 dead. Spend whatever it takes. Torture the brown people. Secretly collect creepy data on all Americans.
ReplyDelete2020. Pandemic virus. 137,000 dead and counting (46 9/11s). Asking me to stay home and watch Netflix is too much. Can’t we just kill grandma and move on?
Stupid.
Breaking: “Pro-Life” congressman with $50M says more Americans need to suck it up and volunteer to die so his stock portfolio doesn’t suffer.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.cnn.com/2020/04/14/politics/trey-hollingsworth-coronavirus/index.html
This came from the communist news network so it must be true as they never make up lie (after lie)
Delete