Monday, November 22, 2021

Encinitas Ranch gone wild!

Homes that were in the $1 million range just a few years ago are now selling well into the $3 millions.

Jim the Realtor.

36 comments:

  1. This bubble will eventually burst!

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  2. Decent fencing at the ranch has made a difference...

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  3. Track homes for $3 million. It shows what real inflation the economy is facing. Pump another $3 trillion in fiat currency into the system, and another, and another, and another.....

    -Lets go Brandon!

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    1. You mean tract.

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    2. 9:14 - nothing identifies you as a moron as fast as your "Brandon" post. You live in your car, don't you?

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  4. $12 per gallon gas and $32 per pound meat coming up within the next year or two.....

    Go Brandon and you BS fed reserve to boot. The system is broke. US dollar tanking to zero in 4 years. What you going to do? I know.... buy more toilet paper ;)

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  5. Ewww - Newsom and BIAspear's policy at work. Great job team!

    It ought to be possible to operate a retail store in one of America’s largest and most iconic cities, but this most basic commercial proposition is in doubt in San Francisco.

    The erstwhile Golden City is beset by an ongoing tide of theft that is closing down retail locations and again demonstrating the city’s unwillingness to govern itself.

    Cities around the country dub themselves “the capital” of this or that signature product — artichokes in Castroville, Calif., earmuffs in Farmington, Maine, spinach in Alma, Ark., fried chicken in Barberton, Ohio.

    San Francisco, and the larger Bay Area, now could easily claim the title of Shoplifting Capital of the USA — should it want the honor.

    https://nypost.com/2021/11/22/mobs-of-looters-are-grabbing-goods-in-california-thanks-to-downgraded-shoplifting-laws/

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  6. This coordinated mass looting of retail stores in like a slow burn riot in progress. Unless decisive action is taken to deter this form of anarchy, it will intensify. These thieves figure they have strength in numbers and that there is reluctance on the part of the authorities to respond. because of volatile social and political agenda issues that remain unresolved.

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  7. Jim is a good dude.
    Very data oriented and pragmatic.

    We're definitely in the stratospheric twilight zone for home values.

    Lots of confluence creating it to be sure.

    I'd like Jim step outside of his (mine too) bubble (no pun) and do a speculative analysis on how likely it is we'll get a garden variety 20%~ reversion closer to the mean.

    Let's Go Jimbo! :)

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    1. Love Jim!

      I'm in the camp that the Fed can't allow a 20% correction because the wealth effect is so important to the economy.

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    2. Tend to agree with you EU

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  8. Here is an another old priority that was never completed. Blakespear and Kranz have been all talk and no action except for getting the quiet zone approved in Blakespears neighborhood pronto. But then again, what's new?

    The City is soliciting comments regarding train noice in Leucadia. https://encinitasca.gov/Home/News-Center/ArticleID/416

    https://thecoastnews.com/encinitas-to-conduct-train-horn-demonstration-seeks-community-input/

    Federal Rail Authority approved a law enabling quiet zones in 1994. Since then the community and prior City Councils had a priority goal to complete quiet zone throughout all of Encinitas.

    2012- The city of San Diego established its quiet zone.

    2015- The city of San Clemente established its quiet zone, and has been free from train horns at the vehicle at grade crossings. The at-grade pedestrian crossing have a much quieter way side horn at each crossing without vehicles.

    In June of this year, Oceanside approved a quiet zone for five at grade crossings. https://patch.com/california/oceanside-camppendleton/oceanside-quiet-zones-approved-downtown-rail-crossings

    Why is Encinitas always so far behind every other City when it comes to help address local health and safety issues?

    The Coaster trains are an environmental nightmare, but more on that later. The low life train conductors honk the load train horns about 50 times as they pass through Leucadia for each trip. there are 67 train trips a day (30 coaster, 26 Amtrak, and 11 freight). The senseless noise has to stop. The Coaster has a horrible performance record.

    Write to your City Council and request they make installing a quiet-zone a high priority. You know we are way behind the curve when Oceanside is years ahead of us on an issue.

    If you want to learn more about Quiet-Zones the City completed a Quiet zone feasibility analysis in 2019 which is found at this website - https://encinitasca.gov/Portals/0/City%20Documents/Documents/Development%20Services/Engineering/Capital%20Improvement/COE%20Quiet%20Zone%20Feasibility%20Analysis8-16-19.pdf

    Enjoy the reading and please contact the City Council and request they stop the senseless noise pollution by implementing a quiet-zone ASAP. Thanks!

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    1. The train was there before you pinheads were born.
      YOU MOVED TO WHERE THE TRAIN IS LOCATED...IDIOTS.

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    2. Many people were born here or moved here before the train and vehicle traffic and the population were so heavy. There's a quiet zone in Cardiff. Downtown and Leucadia should also get quiet zones. They're an adjustment to the new reality.

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    3. Before the TRAIN TRAFFIC ???? Do yourself a favor, try looking up some history. Those tracks have been there longer than anyone is currently alive. Hope you aren't a teacher.

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    4. 5:46, kneejerk much? 3:00 PM posted that folks were born or moved here "before the train and vehicle traffic and the population were so heavy." Not "before the train traffic."

      Hope you don't teach reading comprehension. Also, you sound like Kranz.

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  9. Thank you 1:11 for your superb post. It is a puzzle why the City does not care about train horns in Leucadia. Leucadia's representation (Kranz) does not live in the neighborhood is probably why the quality of life issues are not considered.

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  10. Kranz lives on Hygeia north of Leucadia Blvd. His house is uphill and two long blocks from the tracks.

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    1. Yup. That was his mother-in-law's home. His mother-in-law's home is a quite a ways away from the train horn blasting zone.

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    2. Does he reside in the basement?

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  11. I live off of Urania, east of the 5 and I hear the train in the late night.

    Tony can certainly hear the train from his mother in-laws home on Hygeia.

    In his own way, Tony has followed $tock$ in being a follower and not a leader in representing our district.

    With the redrawing of the Leucadia districts boundaries, You, Tony, deserve to relegated to a has been.

    A most heartfelt welcome back to our neighbors south of Leucadia Blvd.

    In my mind, our treasured neighbors south of Leucadia Blvd were always Leucadians.

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    1. Tony never had the chops for the job. When people ignore the political process, they allow inferiors to make the decisions for them.

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  12. Try living along Vulcan or 101 and having any other sound drowned out by train noise.

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  13. Hey Karen at 5:10 and 5:46 am - Try cooling your jets a bit and educate yourself. I didn't see anyone claiming they were still alive before the railroad was here. You might consider broadening your perspective a bit. Some things that appear to be popular and promoted by society were and are very harmful for long term happiness and public heath. Remember how popular smoking was just 50 years ago?

    Encinitians (or formally known as Hakut, or also the Kumeyaay villagers of Jeyal or Heyal, near the San Elijo Lagoo) have been freely crossing the area where the tracks currently sit for thousands of years.

    After Gaspar de Portolá started the spanish conquest of the area, Encinitas was established as a tiny town around 1881, and you will notice many of the grid streets that used to connect from east to west prior to being bifurcated by the railroad (RR).

    In 1887, a private company called Atchison, Topeka and Santa Fe Railway (ATSF) started rail service through Encinitas. there were many at grade crossings and people crossed the tracks freely as there was only about 4 to 10 trains per day and people can use common sense to cross a train track.

    In 1994, NCTD purchased the RR right of way from ATSF, and in 1995 Coaster service started some 108 years after the start of rail service to Encinitas and after 108 years of free movement over the tracks to minimize the bifurcation of our town.

    What a coincidence, in 1996 ATSF sells to BNSF with a parent company of Berkshire_Hathaway ( Warren Buffet’s company) and they kept their rail rights on the LOSSAN corridor but dumped all the liability of tracks along the fragile beachside cliffs and lagoons to the suckers at NCTD who are funded with our tax money. We the tax payers got hosed. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BNSF_Railway

    The Coaster has been a complete economic and environmental failure. Anyone that does not agree only need to review its original performance objectives and its performance reports to date. At its peak, only about 5,000 to 6,000 commuters supposedly used the Coaster as a part of their daily trip (according to 2015 NCTD reports). Of those riders most were and are white high income earners with flexible schedules commuting to office jobs to and from San Diego. Today the number of riders is pathetic at about 1,500. Very few ride the coaster as a part of their commute because its slow, it’s only a small part of a total commute (considering you still need to get to and from the coasters), and people do not feel comfortable and safe due to sketchy riders and spread of disease. As a reference, there are about 18,000 average daily trips along N. Coast Hwy 101- well over 10 times the volume of commuters on the Coaster and then I5 has about 400,000 average daily trips or about 266 times volume of commuters on the Coaster. The coaster is insignificant as far as commuter performance is concerned.


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    1. The first rail line thru Encinitas was the California Southern. It preceded AT&SF. Its southern terminal was in National City. It turned inland at what is now Oceanside and ran thru Temecula Canyon, then up to the transcontinental line.

      After being flooded out twice and destroyed by torrential rains, the line thru the canyon was abandoned and the present line along the coast to Orange County and points farther north was built.

      Obviously, people have not been crossing RR tracks for thousands of years. The first RR in the US was in the 1820s.

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    2. Thanks for the add. Who said anything about people RR tracks for thousands of years? The comment above stated.... have been freely crossing the area where the tracks currently sit for thousands of years.

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    3. Your post below says "my main point is that to date people have been freely crossing the RR tracks for thousands of years."

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    4. 2:31pm- You are right! My bad. Sorry.

      I mean to write..."my main point is that to date people have been freely crossing the area where the tracks currently sit for thousands of years."

      Thank you for pointing out my mistake.

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    5. The problem is crossing the tracks, not the land they now sit on before the tracks were there.

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  14. So with such a failed Coaster service, what to do?

    Well NCTD values the right of way assets at about $560,000,000. It make absolutely no sense for SANDAG to plan to spend seven times that amount, $4,000,000,000 to tunnel under Del Mar homes to get the RR of the bluff for only a tiny segment and then have all the remaining environmentally damaging issues associated with the Coaster. But more on that in another post. Check out page 78 of 102 of this performance report on NCTD. Dwindling revenues and sky rocketing expenditures with net operating loss skyrocketing at (($165,464,980). The coaster is a big part of this economic failure. Look at the tanking revenue fares and the the crashing total boardings on pages 84 and 85. NCTD finances are a complete mess and no one wants to ride the slow, polluting, sketchy train or busses obviously because the stats show the story. 2015 was their all time high while still pathetic and the numbers have been tanking over the last 6 years. Take a look for yourself - https://gonctd.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/FY2020-NCTD-CAFR.pdf

    So in the meantime, my main point is that to date people have been freely crossing the RR tracks for thousands of years and its only now that NCTD is proposing to cut off multi modal access to the coast daily for the tens of thousands of residents and visitors. All for a transportation option for approximately 1,500 higher income earner commuters a day while damaging the environment in so many ways. Where is the Coastal Commission on this major potential blockage of coastal access?

    For more information of a reasonable option, please read https://coaster-rail-to-trail.org/

    This seams to make a whole lot more sense. More to come.

    -Hoping common sense will prevail

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  15. 9:30pm - Contraire. The problem is with NCTD restricting crossing the tracks.

    to date people have been freely crossing the area where the tracks currently sit for thousands of years.

    the Ca Coastal Commission should step up and invoke their authority to maintain coastal access. WTF?

    Only a few ride the coaster and yet they are proposing to block access to the coast for hundreds of thousands?

    This does not make sense. NCTD sucks and who is the Chair of NCTD? thats right, Ol' Tony boy. Pushing to block coastal access in his home town. WTF?

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  16. Kranz is chair of the NCTD executive committee. NCTD owns the RR right-of-way. NCTD is part of SANDAG. How do you figure "they are proposing to block access to the coast for hundreds of thousands"?

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  17. Kranz and NCTD are proposing fencing all the NCTD right-of-way, therefore blocking access to the coast. Its such bullshit and Kranz is leading the effort! People have crossed through that area for thousands of years and even after the RR was built. Now Kranz wants to block it.

    https://www.delmartimes.net/news/story/2021-11-23/fence-fighters-in-del-mar-urge-their-neighbors-to-oppose-nctd-fencing-plan.

    https://gonctd.com/about-nctd/safety-security/trespasser-mitigation/proposed-fencing-project/

    https://www.encinitasadvocate.com/news/story/2020-10-18/residents-fight-plan-to-fence-coastal-railroad-tracks

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  18. 9:36 There are vehicle/ped/bike crossings at La Costa Ave, Leucadia Blvd, soon El Portal, Encinitas Blvd, D St, E St, peds/bikes at Swamis, and Chesterfield. Access is not blocked, and your repeatedly saying people have crossed for thousands of years is silly and irrelevant.

    It's a problem in today's circumstances. NCTD wants to fence as a public safety action. The purpose isn't to block access.

    Look at Solana Beach. Lowered tracks, five crossings counting Via de la Valle. Three are peds and bikes only. The rest of the about 1.5 mile stretch is fenced.

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    1. Saying people have crossed for thousands of years is silly and irrelevant? I find that comment silly.

      I have crossed the track for over 60 years and will cross the tracks several times a day. Its much safer that crossing the tracks at the vehicle intersections. Those are sketchy with all the right hand hooks and the ridiculous traffic signal issues.

      NCTD wants to fence as a public safety action. The purpose isn't to block access. Well maybe thats not their purpose but that will be the end result and for no good reason. I bet if you study the accidents many more would be from accidents at the few legal at grade crossings and suicides and very very few would be from non-suicidal people unexpected getting hit by the train. If you can not time crossing a RR track without getting hit from a train, you should not be leaving your home to begin with. There is far much greater danger walking along any roadway than crossing the RR tracks.

      The bottom line is NCTD is proposing to block current access to beach? What part of that is difficult for you to understand and when will the Coastal Commission step in and address this major proposed access restriction to our Coast from these empty polluting death and tax wasting, public health killing machines?

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  19. As a former county supervisor told me when he asked me what I would most like to see happen for our community just as a train roared by, I simply pointed to the tracks and declared lowering the tracks.

    His response spoke clearly to our city's elected's lack of action.

    He stated there has never been any expression of wanting to do anything about the train tracks that continue to divide our community.

    I don't blame the supervisors who had the funds to help us fix this division. Our city has failed us, while Carlsbad and Solana Beach found a way when it was still possible. The billion$ it would now take are not going to happen.

    We, our city, snoozed and lost out. The inevitable result will take a major railway accident to change this equation.

    Have at it. I am done. For now. I try to not be negative, but our elected's have not served us well for too long a time.

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